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Market Insight

Our sector specialists have been examining the supply-demand factors of container, tanker and dry bulk markets regularly. Our aim is to look through rumours, noises and explain what the current market dynamics and future trends are. After all, markets are where shipping companies are making or losing their money.

Containers: Charter rate

Latest From Charter rates

Boxship charter market booms as supply remains tight

The early peak season has caught carriers by surprise. Tonnage providers are reaping the benefits

Containers Charter rates

Higher charter rates boost MPC Container Ships’ outlook

Houthi attacks of shipping have inverted the supply and demand imbalance that was expected this year. Diversions and increased teu per mile demand have soaked up capacity

Containers Finance

Maersk justifies more rate hikes amid analyst doubt on Asia-Europe capacity loss

While tensions in the Middle East remain unresolved, carriers are pushing for a new round of freight rate increases

Red Sea Risk Containers

Bulk carrier values still rising despite freight market corrections

‘The capesize market is structurally tight — not only are newbuilding deliveries slowing down to multi-year lows in 2024-26 but there are no VLOCs delivering until late 2026,’ said Braemar analyst Alexandra Alatari

Dry Bulk Capes

Containership charter rates stay strong but overcapacity risk remains

Red Sea crisis means demand for chartered boxships shows no sign of easing, but the sector faces uncertainty from the remaining large newbuilding orderbook

Red Sea Risk Containers

Euroseas scores higher charter deal for newly retrofitted boxship

Latest retrofit aims to reduce consumption by 25% — equivalent to a reduction of 8,800 tonnes of CO2 a year

Containers Sustainability
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Containers: Between the lines

Latest From Between the lines

Between the lines: Fourth-quarter performance shows signs of carrier weakness

A stellar financial performance last year was clouded by a significantly weak fourth quarter, as demand waned and average freight rates fell across the board

Between the lines Containers

Between the lines: First-quarter carrier results show scale of cash windfall

Lines’ level of profitability is not driven by a volume growth, as apart from Zim, all other carriers that report global volumes either recorded sharp on-year declines, or in the case of Hapag-Lloyd, a marginal 0.4% increase. The  ebit figures are more so a reflection of the current freight rate environment

Containers Between the lines

Between the lines: Container sector faces uncertainty ahead of peak season

Sea-Intelligence’s Alan Murphy highlights a shift in North American traffic, systemic changes in transpacific vessel sizes and the prospect of an equipment capacity crunch

Containers Market Insight

Between the Lines: Empty box flood poses new supply chain challenges

A return to normality for the global supply chain will bring huge relief to container shipping, but the next headache will be repatriating empty boxes particularly on the transpacific trade

Containers Asia Pacific

Between the Lines: Bad news for shippers in 2022

Freight rates are expected to remain at record highs, as congestion problems that plagued 2021 continue. Schedule reliability will also likely repeat last year’s dismal performance, making ‘resilience and robustness’ essential to supply chain planning

Asia Pacific Europe

Between the lines: Lower demand pressure had little impact on box carrier reliability

The latest global schedule reliability data shows carriers arriving ‘on-time’ with around one in three vessels, as the seasonal decline in volumes had little impact on port punctuality

Containers Ports and Logistics
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Dry Bulk: Capesize

Latest From Capes

Smaller bulkers are a good bet, but capes may reward the brave

Ursa Shipbrokers’ Simon Ward says the future looks bright for smaller bulkers against a backdrop of global conflict, growth in the developing world and scarce tonnage, with efficient newbuildings too costly to justify

Posidonia Dry Bulk

Safe Bulkers seals more capesize charters

Eight capesizes are earning an average of $24,400 per day for the next two years

Dry Bulk Capes

Shipping markets no longer just about supply and demand, says Norden’s Rindbo

‘The ability to stay nimble to react to changes in shipping markets is more important than ever,’ says Norden chief executive

Tankers and Gas Political Risk and Trade

Bulk carrier values still rising despite freight market corrections

‘The capesize market is structurally tight — not only are newbuilding deliveries slowing down to multi-year lows in 2024-26 but there are no VLOCs delivering until late 2026,’ said Braemar analyst Alexandra Alatari

Dry Bulk Capes

Capesize correction gathers steam as spot rates and FFAs fall

Following a counter-seasonally strong Q1, capesize rates and futures are in retreat. Nevertheless, shares of listed dry bulk owners are holding on to much of their 2024 gains, at least so far

Dry Bulk Freight rates

Bulk carrier values strengthen on robust earnings

Last month there were 33 capesize sales concluded compared with just nine in February 2023, according to Veson dry cargo analyst

Dry Bulk Sale and Purchase
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Dry Bulk: Handies

Latest From Handies

Smaller bulkers are a good bet, but capes may reward the brave

Ursa Shipbrokers’ Simon Ward says the future looks bright for smaller bulkers against a backdrop of global conflict, growth in the developing world and scarce tonnage, with efficient newbuildings too costly to justify

Posidonia Dry Bulk

Shipping markets no longer just about supply and demand, says Norden’s Rindbo

‘The ability to stay nimble to react to changes in shipping markets is more important than ever,’ says Norden chief executive

Tankers and Gas Political Risk and Trade

Precious Shipping sees ‘extreme volatility’ ahead for shipping market

Fiscal and monetary stimulus by governments could boost the markets, as could a better steel sector, easing of financial conditions in China, and better-than-expected US economic growth, while a low orderbook will help reduce supply-side pressure

Dry Bulk Political Risk and Trade

Dry bulk should see healthy rates this year, says Braemar

Capesize lift should come in a few months as China’s industrial output ramps up following its zero-Covid policy, says shipping analyst Alexandra Alatari

Dry Bulk International

Dry bulk market failing to inspire

Hopes of a post-Chinese New Year boost fail to materialise with capesizes bearing the brunt of the losses, while sub-capesize segments in limbo trading in the $7,000 per day range mainly due to conflicting signals

International Dry Bulk

Handysizes maintain strong performance

Handysizes have shown greater resilience to freight rate falls over recent weeks on strong trading volumes which has seen utilisation at one of the highest among bulk carrier segments, says Braemar ACM

Dry Bulk Handies
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Dry Bulk: Panamax

Latest From Panamax

Panama Canal transits stalled in May but water level is slowly rising

Rhetoric on the Panama Canal has taken a major positive turn. Authorised draught is up, reservation slots have increased and rain is adding to Gatun Lake water levels. But if you look at the actual transit statistics, this supply chain bottleneck is a still a long way from being solved

Containers Dry Bulk

United Maritime adds third bareboat-chartered bulker amid dry bulk optimism

Within February the Nasdaq-listed owner has agreed a sale-and-leaseback transaction for another of its existing vessels

Dry Bulk Greece

Seacon balances management services with controlled fleet growth to 29 ships

Chinese shipmanager also has an orderbook of another 13 newbuildings

Dry Bulk Tankers and Gas

Monjasa buys panamax as floating bunker storage

Monjasa said its fleet now consists of 13 tankers following the purchase of four secondhand vessels this year

Tankers and Gas Bunkers

Panamaxes outpace capesizes in Indian coal trade shift

Dry bulker trading patterns have altered this year as coal imports into India declined, while those into China spiked

Dry Bulk Energy

Dry bulk should see healthy rates this year, says Braemar

Capesize lift should come in a few months as China’s industrial output ramps up following its zero-Covid policy, says shipping analyst Alexandra Alatari

Dry Bulk International
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Dry Bulk: Ultra & Supras

Latest From Ultra and supras

Surge of secondhand capesize deals triggered by 14-year peak in earnings

Greek owners identified as leading buyers with one-third of capesize purchases this year, as well as ranking first alongside Chinese owners for supramax buys

Dry Bulk Sale and Purchase

Dry bulk should see healthy rates this year, says Braemar

Capesize lift should come in a few months as China’s industrial output ramps up following its zero-Covid policy, says shipping analyst Alexandra Alatari

Dry Bulk International

Dry bulk market failing to inspire

Hopes of a post-Chinese New Year boost fail to materialise with capesizes bearing the brunt of the losses, while sub-capesize segments in limbo trading in the $7,000 per day range mainly due to conflicting signals

International Dry Bulk

Soyabean trade to lift demand for panamaxes

Panamaxes should benefit from higher soyabean exports out of Brazil, while demand for smaller-sized bulk carriers will be hurt by much lower sorghum volumes from the US

Dry Bulk South America

Sub-capesizes end the year rangebound at lower levels

Handysizes to panamaxes have shed value through the month, with average daily spot rates ending the year in a $11,000-$14,000 range, as activity dwindles ahead of the holidays and amid an uncertain economic outlook

Dry Bulk Panamax

Baltic Exchange considers updating supramax index to reflect size and trade shift

The London-based exchange held a working group to discuss the possible changes to a larger sized vessel in response to feedback. Potential changes to routes and weightings were also on the agenda

Dry Bulk Ultra and supras
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Tankers & Gas: LNG

Latest From LNG

CDB Leasing strikes $600m LNG carrier leaseback deal with Dynagas

Deal includes purchase options enabling Dynagas to buy back the ships when the charters mature

Tankers and Gas Finance

LNG: Challenging freight rate environment expected to prevail

According to Gibson analyst Matt Coates, the rate environment is likely to remain challenging for the remainder of 2024, and stay below 2023 and 2022 levels 

Mid-Year outlook Tankers and Gas

Seoul boosts domestic yards with $10.8bn in new refund guarantees

Important South Korean banks have resumed support for mid-sized shipyards for the first time in 11 years, having suffered heavy losses during the previous industry downturn

Tankers and Gas Shipbuilding

Samsung Heavy fights Zvezda’s contract termination for 17 Russian icebreaking newbuilds

With Zvezda demanding repayment of $800m in advance payments and interest arrears, SHI says it will file an application with the Singapore Arbitration Court

Sanctions Tankers and Gas

US sanctions hit Russia’s Arctic LNG 2 project

Türkiye’s Balut shipyard and Chinese shipyard operator Penglai Jutal Engineering Heavy Industries Co among those targeted

Sanctions Tankers and Gas

Don’t rely on China for LNG demand growth, forum told

Poten & Partners London forum explains how a pause on US export approvals, slowing Chinese demand, capacity growth and increased market concentration will affect the LNG market over the next decade

Energy Tankers and Gas
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Tankers & Gas: LPG

Latest From LPG

LPG: Sailing towards summer stability?

Freight rates for VLGCs have recovered from winter lulls, and while the potential for further upside remains limited, they should remain profitable

Tankers and Gas LPG

Panama Canal transits stalled in May but water level is slowly rising

Rhetoric on the Panama Canal has taken a major positive turn. Authorised draught is up, reservation slots have increased and rain is adding to Gatun Lake water levels. But if you look at the actual transit statistics, this supply chain bottleneck is a still a long way from being solved

Containers Dry Bulk

Idled tankers and gas carriers to cost $286bn by 2050 in decarbonisation scenario, new paper says

Tankers could be retrofitted to expand their lifespan, while significant hurdles exist for gas and LPG carriers to be converted

Sustainability Tankers and Gas

Capital Product Partners agrees acquisition of 10 Marinakis gas carriers

Nasdaq-listed partnership plans to part-fund the $756m purchase price using $182.5m in proceeds from recent boxship sales

Tankers and Gas Sustainability

A spoofer’s guide to sanctioned gas trades

The commercialisation of Automatic Identification System data in recent years and the increased access to vessel location data means sanctions skirters have to work harder to hide their activity

Risk and Compliance Sanctions

The week in newbuildings: Tanker orders rise almost 40% year on year

The tanker sector has contributed the lion’s share of newbuilding contracts so far in 2024, with 35% of orders attributed to tankers in terms of ship numbers

Week in Newbuildings Dry Bulk
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Tankers & Gas: Products

Latest From

India approves giant port project near Mumbai

The joint venture project is majority owned by Jawaharlal Nehru Port Authority, and will cost nearly $10m

Containers Ports and Logistics

Container shipping’s relentless newbuild deluge is yet to reach its halfway mark

Container lines dodged a bullet this year courtesy of the Red Sea crisis, but the orderbook remains extremely ominous. Eventually, the supply upside of Cape of Good Hope reroutings will be overwhelmed by the flood of new ship deliveries

Containers Shipbuilding

Trains fail to take the strain amid delay pain

Geopolitical strains have brought rail back into the range of options for shippers. But the volumes and cost mean it will only ever be a niche product

Containers Ports and Logistics

CDB Leasing strikes $600m LNG carrier leaseback deal with Dynagas

Deal includes purchase options enabling Dynagas to buy back the ships when the charters mature

Tankers and Gas Finance

Daily Briefing June 20 2024

Tankers: Good times roll into 2025 | LNG: Challenging freight rate environment expected to prevail | LPG: Sailing towards summer stability?

Daily Briefing

Two-year deal for new Euroseas boxship points to rate surge

Improvement in rates applies to older feeders as well as modern units as charterers look ahead for vessels, says broker

Red Sea Risk Containers
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Tankers & Gas: Suez & Aframax

Latest From Suez and Aframax

Tanker linked to US-sanctioned shipmanager makes rare shipment of crude to Poland from Venezuela

This is the first time Venezuelan crude has been shipped to Poland in at least five years, since the US first imposed sanctions and was likely authorised by regulators under licences that allow European refiners ENI and Repsol to export cargoes produced under a joint venture with PdVSA

Sanctions Tankers and Gas

Eastern Pacific Shipping adds to extensive dual-fuel fleet with new LR2 order

Singapore’s Eastern Pacific Shipping has doubled its order for LNG dual-fuel LR2 tankers at China’s Guangzhou Shipyard International. It is now the second-largest shipowner of alternative fuel ships, after CMA CGM

Tankers and Gas Shipbuilding

Frangou flaunts diversity as durable Navios aims to stick around

Change from single-sector model to a diverse shipping company was an example of a venerable company’s ability to learn lessons

Posidonia Containers

Prokopiou appoints Varvitsiotis chief executive at resurgent Greek shipyard

Since commercial activities restarted in February, the former Niarchos-controlled facility has repaired 11 vessels

Greece Tankers and Gas

Aframax exports first crude cargo from Vancouver’s newly expanded Trans Mountain pipeline

Marshall Islands-flagged Dubai Angel is carrying the first cargo from the recently expanded Trans Mountain pipeline in Vancouver, vessel-tracking data suggests. The new pipeline is expected to add 25 to 30 aframax loadings per month when fully operational

Tankers and Gas Canada

High-flying Teekay Tankers primed for TMX pipeline boost

Mid-sized tanker specialist Teekay Tankers is primed to capitalise on the new TMX pipeline as emerging routes should boost demand for aframaxes. The company reported strong first-quarter earnings as it achieved near-record rates

Tankers and Gas Finance
See All

Tankers & Gas: VLCC

Latest From VLCC

Secondhand tanker values reach their peak as newbuilding orders ascend

‘Focus has shifted to the high fleet age profile and the realisation that in a few years’ time, there will be plenty of tankers turning 20 years of age,’ says Gibson analyst Svetlana Lobaciova

Tankers and Gas Sale and Purchase

Summertime blues come early for VLCCs as spot rates sink

There was only one VLCC newbuilding for delivery this year, and it hit the water back in January — the supply side is great. Not so on the demand side. VLCC rates have already entered the summer doldrums

Red Sea Risk Tankers and Gas

Malta STS transfers of Russian oil quadruple after Greece shuts down Laconia Bay

Greece’s navy has twice extended no-sail notices that run until July 15 for Laconia Bay, which have prevented oil traders from using its international waters for ship-to-ship transfers away from port state control scrutiny

Sanctions Political Risk and Trade

Tanker owners need clarity on Nigeria’s taxes

Some members are avoiding the region until they receive clear guidance on a practicable tax regime from Nigerian authorities, writes Intertanko legal counsel Selena Challacombe

Risk and Compliance Law

Shipping stocks suffer ‘brutal’ pullback in June after long bull run

Shipowner shares have been hit this month by weaker VLCCs rates, expectations for lower interest rates, and speculation on an Israel-Hamas ceasefire and eventual reopening of the Red Sea

Containers Finance

1857 Copenhagen Treaty will make it hard to ban shadow fleet from Danish Straits

Unclos pollution rules may give government limited wiggle room, argues local law firm Gorrissen Federspiel

Tankers and Gas Political Risk and Trade
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